Time and trends

Moving average

The average of the last few values in a time series, recalculated as each new value arrives.

  • Time and trends

Definition

The average of the last few values in a time series, recalculated as each new value arrives. It smooths out short-term noise so the direction is easier to see.

Also called

Rolling average

Example

Skye Ascent's launches were 2, 3 and 4 in 2023 to 2025. The three-year moving average for 2025 is 3 launches a year.

Skye Ascent Ltd is a fictional company created for Insyt.

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Why it matters

It smooths out noise so the real trend is easier to see.

Where it is used

Trend charts, stock prices and demand forecasts.

How to calculate it

Sum of values for the last n days ÷ n

Worked example

Sales of 90, 110 and 100 over the last three days give a 3-day moving average of 100.